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Yawning at the Yield Curve
Who will be caught falling asleep at the wheel during the longest yield curve inversion in modern US history?
May 5
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
4
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Yawning at the Yield Curve
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January 2024
Happy New Year 2024!
Discussing history, cultural attributes, and generational defining moments while ruminating about the world over the past few years.
Jan 6
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
1
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Happy New Year 2024!
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November 2023
Delinquent Days
What else is not being paid?
Nov 19, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
3
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Delinquent Days
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Deflationary Dynamics
No, I am not talking about the US markets directly. Do not call me a "Doomer". Today we discuss empirical data across the globe.
Nov 12, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
2
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Deflationary Dynamics
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October 2023
Relevant Randomness
“We are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random.”- Daniel Kahneman.
Oct 13, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
4
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Relevant Randomness
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September 2023
The Fearful Fed?
"They’d rather go along with something that will tarnish their legacy than raise their voice ever so slightly and risk standing alone or apart for even…
Sep 15, 2023
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Aaron David Garfinkel
3
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The Fearful Fed?
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Game Theory
Let's discuss decision-making and how the recent re-acceleration of inflation is a significant external factor that influences a powerful individual…
Sep 10, 2023
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Aaron David Garfinkel
1
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Game Theory
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Pavlovian Response
The reaction to any weakness or dovish sentiment from the Fed results in the immediate purchase of assets, and inherently re-inflates asset/ commodity…
Sep 1, 2023
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Aaron David Garfinkel
4
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Pavlovian Response
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August 2023
Macro Optics
Introducing and time to wear the Macro Optics.
Aug 25, 2023
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Aaron David Garfinkel
2
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Macro Optics
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High Standards
Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey indicates tighter credit conditions and weaker loan demand. I will also discuss Estate and an example that I have…
Aug 4, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
3
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High Standards
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July 2023
Party On, Wayne!
Partyyyyyyy onnnnn says the media and market. We will highlight and discuss present risks that are empirical data points.
Jul 28, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
6
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Party On, Wayne!
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Is Anyone There? *Echos*
Discussing rising bankruptcies, real-life investor sentiment, and Google Search trends for hot market buzzwords.
Jul 14, 2023
•
Aaron David Garfinkel
10
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Is Anyone There? *Echos*
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